Caption:
Growth of known number of NEAs
and NEA-KMs
(i.e., large NEAs)
1980
Jan01--2021
Jul05.
For updates, click
NASA/JPL Center for Near Earth Object Studies
(CNEOS, 1990s--): Discovery Statistics.
See cumulative discovery
graph
and table at the link.
The graph can be expanded to
full screen in the upper right corner.
Features:
- NASA Statistics:
As of 2023
Jul06, we find:
- 32400
NEOs: i.e.,
near-Earth
asteroids and
comets.
- 32279 NEAs:
i.e.,
near-Earth
asteroids.
- 10503 NEA-140m:
i.e.,
near-Earth
asteroids
of order or greater than 140 meters
in size scale.
- 853 NEA-KMs:
i.e.,
near-Earth
asteroids
of order or greater than
1
kilometers (km) in size scale.
Variations in the definition of
NEA-KMs
may cause different references to give different values.
- 2343 PHAs:
i.e., potentially hazardous asteroids: i.e., those
approaching Earth
by ≤ 0.05 AU ≅ 19.5
mean lunar orbital radii
(r_earth_moon = 384402 km
= 60.2687 Earth equatorial radii
= 2.56957*10**(-3) AU)
≅ 1170
Earth equatorial radii (R_eq_⊕ = 6378.1370 km).
- 151 PHA-KMs: i.e.,
potentially hazardous asteroids
of order or greater than
1
kilometers (km) in size scale.
- 121 NECs:
i.e., near-Earth
comets. The
NEC number doesn't grow
very rapidly.
There were 40
as of 2000
Jan01.
- The NEA and
NEA-140m
curves are growing
approximately linearly
(see NASA NEO Program statistics: Totals).
This means that there are still many NEAs
and NEA-140m's
to discover.
We are NOT beginning to exhaust the
statistical population of these
astro-bodies.
In fact, there is no end to the number of
NEAs
since one can keep looking
for smaller and smaller ones. But those that are less than
∼ 1 m in size scale (which are are better called
meteoroids)
usually pose a relatively small threat.
See
Wikipedia: NEO: Impact rate
and
Wikipedia: Impact event: Air bursts.
- The NEA-KM curve
seems to be plateauing
(see NASA NEO Program statistics: Totals).
This means that we are nearly exhausting the
NEA-KM
statistical population.
Probably finding the very last
NEA-KMs
will take a long time
since it takes an exhaustive search to find the very last ones.
- As of 2023
Jul06, NO certain
or probable Earth
impactor has been found.
Likely in the decades to come,
some will be found.
But likely they will be small and NOT dangerous---but maybe we will be unlucky.
Credit/Permission:
NASA /
JPL
2021 /
Public domain.
Download site: NASA:
Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS): Discovery Statistics
Image link: Itself.
Local file: local link: nea_statistics.html.
File: Asteroid file:
nea_statistics.html.