Sections
Earthrise from Apollo 11, 1969jul16.
A picture which
never gets tired: "It is time for you to return to Earth"
( Andrei Tarkovsky's
Solaris ).
Credit: NASA: Image #AS11-44-6549.
Earth from Apollo 17, 1972dec07.
Credit: NASA: Image #AS17-148-22742.
The Earth from Apollo 17, 1972dec07.
One of the few images showing a full Earth. Blue oceans, anticyclones, To the south Antarctica and Madagascar. At the northern edge: India, Asia, Europe. Greece, Israel, Arabia, Egypt. Somewhere near the center is Oldavai Gorge.
Credit: NASA: Image #EL-1996-00155.
North America from Apollo 16, 1972 April 16.
You can see the Baja Peninsula (which is about 1200 km long), the Rocky Mountains, and, towards the top, Lakes Superior and Michigan.
Credit: NASA: Image #AS16-118-18873.
Las Vegas, Nevada.
North is to the upper left. The Las Vegas Wash pours into the leftmost corner of Lake Mead. The Highway 95 to the north-west is clear. The I-15 is probably the curve that streaks from the word Las Vegas up to the right and then more or less to the top middle. UNLV is probably off the picture south of the word Las Vegas.
Credit: NASA: ISS EarthKam.
But basically the EARTH is a sphere.
Gravity has pulled it into this shape.
Answer 3 is right.
The pressure force of solids (rock and metal) and fluids (atmosphere, oceans, and internal molten rock and metal) sustains the Earth from collapse under its own gravity.
An ideal fluid CANNOT resist a shearing force; it can only resist COMPRESSION. The Earth is not an ideal fluid, but under the weight of its own mass it acts approximately like a fluid in bulk.
The combination of self-gravity and pressure force results in the nearly spherical shape.
We can determine the mass of the Earth from law of gravity and Newton's 2nd law (i.e., F=ma).
Density is the ratio of mass to volume.
We can calculate the Earth's mean density. (Which is a very, very cruel density.)
Determining the Earth's mean density.
The mean density of 5.5148 g/cm**3 (Cox-240) is partially set by matter under strong compression in the deep interior.
From modeling, the uncompressed density of the Earth is estimated to be 4.2 g/cm**3 (Se-418). This is the density the Earth material would have if it were uncompressed.
And yet we think that we have a reasonable 1st order understanding of the interior structure of the Earth.
This understanding has had to be inferred from indirect evidence: density, primordial solar nebular composition, seismology, heat flow from the interior, and modeling.
Thus there must be interior material that is denser (when uncompressed) or of compressed material. In fact, both conjectures are true: there is material denser when uncompressed, but it is also compressed to high density.
This composition is believed to have been fairly uniform throughout the solar system before chemical differentiation and other processes caused composition variations to arise.
We know that the volatiles are depleted on Earth because they were never strongly condensed and/or escaped from the early hot earth.
CHEMICAL DIFFERENTIATION also has affected Earth.
For example, consider the most abundant dense refractory element iron?
The phase information is particularly interesting: the seismic wave study allows us to see where the interior solid and where liquid.
The Earth model must satisfy hydrostatic equilibrium: i.e., the pressure at every radius must be able to hold up the mass of all above that radius from collapse under the Earth's self-gravity.
A cartoon of the interior of the Earth
(HI-118;
Ze2002-160).
The INNER CORE is hotter than the OUTER CORE, but is a SOLID because the higher pressures near the center favor the solid phase.
Solid state physicists can measure or calculate melting temperatures under high pressure.
A cartoon of the Earth's interior temperature from modeling
(Se-431).
The CRUST by direct inspection is mostly SILICATES: i.e., rock composed mainly of Si and O plus some amounts of all other refractories and volatiles that are locked up in the rock. The densities are 2.5--3.5 g/cm**3 (Se-431).
The relative composition by mass of the Earth's crust
(SWT-271).
The MANTLE is also mainly SILICATES by INFERENCE with density varying over the range 3.5--5.8 g/cm**3 (Se-431). The silicates are believed to be richer in magnesium and iron than the crust (CW-52).
The CORE, liquid and solid, is probably mainly iron (Fe), but other materials like sulfur (S) and nickel (Ni) are also probably major components (CW-52).
There is also a second layering classification: lithosphere and asthenosphere.
The EMR flux above the atmosphere impinging on the Earth is on average 1366 W/m**2 (Cox-340).
Answer 1 is right, but as we saw in
IAWL Lecture 8: The Sun, the solar constant
does vary a bit both on short time scales and the time scale
of the sunspot cycle of 22 years.
But once the very short-time variations (due to sunspots mainly???) have been smoothed away the sunspot cycle variations are only of order 0.1 %.
Of course, very long term variations probably exist. Over centuries and over gigayears. Recall the Sun is has probably brightened by 30 % since 4.6 Gyr ago will probably brighten by 30 % more in the next 3.5 Gyr (WB-106).
The solar flux that is absorbed by the ground is about 700 W/m**2 (CW-46). The rest of the solar constant is reflected or absorbed in the upper atmosphere.
The flux absorbed by the ground is converted to heat energy which is eventually mostly radiated to the air again as infrared radiation.
The mean heat flow to the surface from the hot interior of the Earth is only 0.08 W/m**2 (CW-46).
Answer 2 is right.
Clearly, geothermal heating is not what keeps us warm.
700 pi*R**2 700 1
________ * ____________ = _______ * _________ .
0.008 4*pi*R**2 0.008 4
So there is a factor of 1/4 to be remember.
I think I'm interpreting
(CW-46) values
correctly.?????]
The geothermal energy on the continents and continental shelves is primarily due to radioactive materials in the crust itself. The outflow is about 0.057 W/m**2.
In the oceanic basins the heat flux is about 0.099 W/m**2 and comes from the deep interior.
What is the deep internal source?
Some of it is residual heat from formation and some is from radioactive sources past and present. The exact amount of each seems uncertain although probably comparable????.
Why is that past heat still there?
It just takes a very long time for heat to leak out from the interior of a massive object.
Size matters.
The cooling time scale grows as radius R according to this crude result.
The calculation ignores many effects: e.g., real structure and differences in composition, but it it gives the right direction of the effect.
The amount of residual/radioactive heat energy that a rocky body has is important for its geological activity since the heat flow of this energy is a major geological driver.
And apparently, its RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY is somewhat less than that of Earth. It's surface is renewed more often than once per gigayear, but this is about 5 times slower than the renewal time for most of the Earth's surface (CW-34).
Mars probably had RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY comparable to Earth's once. Now it is much slower, but probably not dead as older textbooks used to say.
Volcanic activity probably still occurs at a slow rate (HI-189; Baker, V. R. 2005, Nature, 434, 280).
But they are all smaller than the Moon and long ago lost nearly all their residual/radioactive heat energy and became nearly geologically dead except for METEORITIC GEOLOGY.
This is important for life on Earth. As dangerous as volcanoes and earthquakes are, we need RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY.
If RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY turned off, Earth's continents would erode and wash away leaving us with a WATER WORLD.
And indeed RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY might slow tremendously and turn-off PLATE TECTONICS (which we discuss below) on the time scale of a gigayear---but this is very uncertain (WB-146).
Then we'd get a WATER WORLD, unless the water all disappeared first.
The temperature of the interior of the Earth rises going inward up to maybe 5000 K in the center.
Thus heat flows outward in the Earth.
Some of the flow is by CONDUCTION: one atom's thermal kinetic energy being directly transferred to another or by FREE MOVING ELECTRONS in conductors.
This is why metal spoons are not good for stirring boiling water.]
Answer 1 is right.
In the ASTHENOSPHERE (i.e., the lower mantle), it is also believed that the plastic mantle convects and the convection cycle drives PLATE TECTONICS. It is thought there are huge if slowly cycling convection cells.
Convection in the asthenosphere driving plate tectonics.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
The surface manifestation of the asthenosphere convection cells are the TECTONIC PLATES which consist of two main regions: oceanic basins and relatively high continents.
The surface manifestations of the boundaries between asthenosphere convection cells are the plate boundaries. There are three kinds:
Very hot lava flows up from the deep asthenosphere and fairly quiescently (SWT-571) creates new crust in a relatively narrow valley called a RIFT.
But volcanoes are possible too as Iceland (which straddles a divergent boundary) demonstrates.
The rifts are typically bounded by twin ridges.
Most divergent boundaries are under the oceans, and hence one talks of MIDOCEAN RIFTS AND RIDGES.
The midocean ridges are giant submerged mountain chains split by midocean rifts.
Basalts tend to have small crystals and be dark SWT-568).]
As the material moves away from the midocean rift (being dragged by the motion of the underlying asthenosphere convection cell), it cools and grows more dense and at a convergent boundaries (i.e., subduction zones) it can slides under another plate.
At oceanic convergent boundaries there is usually a deep trench.
Mariana Trench in Western Pacific Ocean is an example: as mentioned above it is the deepest trench and drops to to 11,035 meters below mean sea level (Oceanclopedia: Mariana Trench).
The trenches are deepest between two oceanic plates and less deep between oceanic and continental plates.
Between continental plates there are no trenches (SWT-594).
On subduction some subducting matter heats up from contact with the asthenosphere and then becomes low density molten rock that rises and emerges as lava that forms VOLCANOES SWT-594).
Volcanic mountain chains often form where a oceanic plate subducts below an oceanic or continental plate: e.g., the Andes of South America and the Cascades of Washington State (SWT-594).
There are also FAULT-BLOCK MOUNTAINS that occur when the the crust is fractured and one side is uplifted. The Sierra Nevada Mountains in California are FAULT-BLOCK MOUNTAINS (SWT-607)
Granites tend to have large crystals from slow cooling of lava or magma (CW-195). They tend to be lighter in color ???? than basalts and less dense.
The continental material rose up above the oceanic crust because of its lower density---which is not full explanation of why continents form. (We discuss continental formation a little bit further below.)
Note both continental and oceanic crusts are immensely complex with all kinds of variations: the distinction into basaltic and granitic just gives the main trend.]
For example, the North American Plate and the Pacific Plate have a transform boundary in California: the SAN ANDREAS FAULT. EARTHQUAKES near transform boundaries are common (SWT-595).
In simple terms, the plates try to slide past each other, but are caught on each other by friction and other forces??? and elastic potential energy builds up until there is a sudden release of stored potential energy as kinetic energy.
Everything moves and quakes and the boundary comes into a new relatively stable configuration---for awhile.
Cartoon of plate boundary behavior.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
The plate boundaries, particularly on dry land, are not always obvious since surface material can camouflage them.
But plates have been largely mapped. There are about 20 plates: some very large and some quite small (SWT-591).
I count only 15 on the map below.
Map of the Earth's geological plates.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
Most of the boundaries are under the ocean.
But a fair number that cross land.
For example, the Mid-Atlantic Ridge (a divergent boundary) crosses Iceland.
Iceland straddling tectonic plate.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
An actual space image of image of Iceland just shows the ice-cap and the plate boundary isn't obvious.
Iceland: Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Volcanos, Glaciers.
Credit: NASA: Visible Earth.
But there are frequent volcanic eruptions in Iceland.
Krafla Volcano erupting.
Krafla Volcano is on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge as it crosses Iceland.
Credit: Gudmundur E. Sigvaldason, Nordic Volcanological Institute, Reykjavik, Iceland . I assume that Dr. Sigvaldason will allow educational use of his image without express permission. It is displayed at this USGS site.
A closer-to-home boundary is the transform boundary between the North-American and Pacific Plates that runs up through the Gulf of California and through California as the SAN ANDREAS FAULT before heading out to sea at San Francisco.
San Andreas Fault.
The San Andreas Fault is one of the relatively few places where a plate boundary crosses land. Lower California is will one day become an island.
For more information on the San Andreas Fault see USGS The San Andreas Fault site
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
The SAN ANDREAS FAULT is NOT obvious from the ground, unless one knows the geological features to look for.
But from the air, its linear form can be picked out.
San Andreas Fault.
This is an aerial view of the San Andreas fault splitting Carrizo Plain in the Temblor Range east of San Luis Obispo, California.
The San Andreas Fault is one of the relatively few places where a plate boundary crosses land. Lower California is will one day become an island.
For more information on the San Andreas Fault see USGS The San Andreas Fault site
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS): photographer Robert E. Wallace, USGS. USGS images are mostly public domain.
San Andreas Fault: the linear feature straight down the center.
Credit: NASA: Visible Earth.
Ocean basin material is typically about 200 Myr old (The Mountains of Wisconsin site).
Some continental material can be significantly older: some is more than 3 gigayears old.
The oldest rock is zircon crystals from Western Australia that is dated to 4.3 Gyr (CW-39).
The continents were created by two processes: ACCRETIONARY WEDGES and VOLCANISM.
Continents have a tendency to keep growing???, but there must be some limiting process to keep the whole Earth surface from becoming continental.
The early past of the tectonic plates gigayears ago is hard to trace.
It is not really possible I think to trace where the continents were to such early times as 3 Gyr ago.
The constant crustal creation and subduction has moved the continents around too much.
It has been possible to trace the continents back to 220 Myr ago (i.e., 220 million years ago) using radioactive and magnetic dating with some certainty (CW-41).
Movements back to 600 Myr ago are known roughly (WB-91).
Continental drift.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
CONTINENTAL DRIFT still goes on and can be monitored by precise satellite measurements.
For example, the Atlantic Ocean is widening at about 3 cm/yr (Ze2002-158).
Answer 2 is right.
Pointing out this factoid seems to be de rigueur when discussing plate tectonics: the textbooks all seem to mention it (PF-95).
Plate tectonic modeling suggests that most of the continents will ram together again to create a new super-continent in about 250 Myr (WB-92).
Is there any fundamental reason for the arrangements of continents and plates as we see them?
Probably not.
Initial conditions on the early Earth were probably set randomly and then evolved in a mostly deterministic fashion, but over the gigayears the motion may be chaotic.
There are many other geological processes---and a lengthy discussion is beyond our scope---but we should mention a few main ones in brief.
Weathering of rock, erosion, and sedimentary rock formation which I collectively call EROSION GEOLOGY.
There is also hotspot volcanism (which is a feature of RESIDUAL/RADIOACTIVE-HEAT GEOLOGY) and METEORITIC GEOLOGY (i.e., cratering by impactors from space).
Liquid water can dissolve rock or provide a solution of other chemicals that dissolve rock.
Solid water (ice) can cause FROST WEDGING: water freezing in crevices expands and fractures.
Glaciers as they move can also break up rock.
Glacier Bay. Johns Hopkins Glacier calving
Credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Department of Commerce: Image ID: corp1862, NOAA Corps Collection; Location: Alaska Southeast; Photo Date: August 1991; Photographer: Commander John Bortniak, NOAA Corps.
Wind, especially when carrying dust or sand particles, can abrade rock surface.
Wind is a much weaker than water in weathering in general, but on planets like Mars and Venus where there is no liquid water, wind weathering must be relatively important.
Liquid water can easily move dissolved material and fine particles. Larger particles or pebbles can be rolled along.
Glaciers can move small fragments and boulders too.
Wind is much less powerful, but it can blow dust and sand around. In arid regions this is an important process.
Water usually and wind probably on average move rock material downhill depositing it lower regions and ultimately on the oceanic seafloor.
Both answers seem right to me.
The Earth would become a WATER WORLD eventually.
The Mississippi Delta.
The Mississippi Delta is formed from alluvial deposits of soil from the Mississippi River. The Army Corps of Engineers and others spend much of the 20th century trying to straighten the channels in the Delta for flood control among other things. The result of straighter channels is less deposition and the delta is eroding away. The sediments that used to build up the Delta get deposit out in the deep Gulf of Mexico. By 2100 the New Orleans could submerged. So now people are unstraightening the channels.
Credit: NASA: ISS EarthKam.
METAMORPHIC ROCK is formed from pressure and/or heating of igneous or sedimentary rock. But not heating to the point of melting.
The main rock types are related by the ROCK CYCLE which in earliest form was worked out by James Hutton (1727--1797), a Scottish physician and geologist (SWT-565).
But most sedimentary rock is mostly silicates (CW-199).
Answer 1 is right.
Common cementing agents are silica (SiO_2), iron oxides, and calcium carbonate (CaCO_3) (SWT-577).
CALCIUM CARBONATE (CaCO_3) is particularly important.
This is a major process by which CO_2 is removed quasi-permanently from the atmosphere.
Only quasi-permanently since volcanic action can free CO_2 again by outgassing during lava flows.
Note the process requires LIQUID WATER.
But it's much more important than 5 % implies.
SEDIMENTARY ROCK is the covering layer of about 75 % of the continents and apparently even more of the ocean basins (SWT-576).
Most of North America is covered by a veneer of SEDIMENTARY ROCK a few kilometers thick. In many parts of the continental interior sedimentary rock is almost all you see.
This is a pretty common sight in the American west. A famous example is the Grand Canyon (Se-437).
A view of the Grand Canyon presumably.
There was no caption at the USGS Grand Canyon site.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
Studying the layers of rock (i.e., the strata), particularly sedimentary rock, is STRATIGRAPHY.
Studying the strata is a main way to learn about geological and biological history.
But there are places where the plates ride over point-like HOTSPOTS in the asthenosphere.
At a hotspot a volcano can arise that is then shifted away from the hotspot by plate motion and becomes extinct.
Hotspots can create chains of volcanoes: in the oceans these will become island and seamounts (submerged volcanic mountains).
The most famous hotspot is the one that has created the Hawaiian Islands and what is called the Emperor Seamount Chain (SWT-571).
Hawaiian Islands from the Terra Satellite. True color.
The Big Island (Hawaii Island) is obvious. Oahu (with Honolulu with Pearl Harbor) is the 3rd island from the left.
Credit: NASA: Visible Earth.
Now there are two kinds of geologic craters that are quite different and have to be distinguished: VOLCANO CRATERS and IMPACT CRATERS. VOLCANO CRATERS are on top of volcanos and result from residual/radioactive-heat geology. IMPACT CRATERS arise from space debris falling on Earth: meteoroids, asteroids, and comets.
We will discuss impactor physics the distinction between impact and volcano craters in IAWL Lecture 12: The Moon and Mercury and current impactor danger to the Earth IAWL Lecture 16: Asteroids, Meteoroids, and Target Earth.
Most rocky/icy bodies in the solar system are heavily impact cratered, but Earth is not even though it has been impacted at a similar rate.
The absence of obvious impact craters is because of two reasons.
Thus, METEORITIC GEOLOGY has been comparatively unimportant Earth since the heavy bombardment: during the heavy bombardment METEORITIC GEOLOGY was important on Earth.
Currently, about 170 craters are known on Earth and new ones are still being discovered (Reimold, W. U. 2003jun20, Science, 300, 1889).
But most of these craters are NOT obvious the way craters on the Moon are.
Erosion has degraded their appearance in many cases and in many cases they are pretty much buried by sediment.
A small political map of Mexico
The Chicxulub crater straddles the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula with center just east?? of Progreso. It is centered near the village of Chicxulub. (Chicxulub is pronounced chick-shoe-lube I believe.)
The Chicxulub crater is 170 km in diameter and is the 3rd largest crater known on Earth. But it is entirely covered by sediments.
It was discovered by finding shock-exposed rock and subsequent geological investigation.
The Chicxulub impactor hit about 65 million years ago and probably the caused a mass extinction at the end of the Cretaceous period that included the extinction of the dinosaurs. The impactor may have touched off world-wide firestorms??? and caused dust in that atmosphere that a multi-year winter (Se-574).
Credit: Central Intelligence Agency (CIA); download site Perry-Casta~neda Library Map Collection University of Texas Austin. Most of the maps are in the public domain and can be downloaded. There are historical maps.
You may have thought the CIA were spys, but actually they make maps---I think, explains a great deal.
There are a few impact craters that look like impact craters.
The most famous is METEOR CRATER (or Barringer Crater) near Winslow, Arizona.
METEOR CRATER is about 50,000 years old, has a diameter of about 1.2 km, and is about 180 meters deep.
The impactor was an iron-rich meteoroid of about 50 m in diameter. The impact energy was equivalent to about that of 20-megaton H-bomb (FK-362).
The impactor itself was fragmented and spread about in the crater or ejected out. There is no single big meteorite to be found it seems.
A USGS educational picture of Meteor Crater in Arizona.
Credit: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Their images are mostly public domain.
Meteor Crater in Arizona.
More on Earth craters can be found at the Geological Survey of Canada's Earth Impact Database.
Credit: NASA: Visible Earth.
_________________________________________________________________________
Earth Atmosphere Composition
_________________________________________________________________________
Gas Percentage by Mass Percentage by Number
(%) (%)
_________________________________________________________________________
N_2 (nitrogen) 75.52 77.
O_2 (oxygen) 23.14 21.
Ar (argon) 1.29 0.99
CO_2 (carbon dioxide) 0.05 0.033
Ne (neon) 0.0013 0.0018
He (helium) 7*10**(-5) 5.2*10**(-4)
CH_4 (methane) 1*10**(-4) 1.5*10**(-4)
Kr (krypton) 3*10**(-4) 1.1*10**(-4)
H_2 (hydrogen) 5*10**(-5)
O_3 (ozone) 4*10**(-5)
N_2O (nitrous oxide) 3*10**(-5)
CO (carbon monoxide) 1*10**(-5)
NH_3 (ammonia) 1*10**(-6)
H_20 (water vapor) 0.06 to 1.7 0.1 to 2.8
_____________________________________________________________________________
References: Se-439,
CW-296, and
Cox-258
(but note Cox has the wrong exponents for some numbers).
____________________________________________________________________________
But N_2 is necessary for organic life: it is used in many organic compounds.
Both biological and non-biological methods of fixing nitrogen (i.e., converted to ammonia or nitrates) exist: see, e.g., The Nitrogen cycle and Nitrogen fixation.
The main respiration reaction is
C_6H_12O_6 + 6O_2 = 6CO_2 + 6H_2O + released energy
where C_6H_12O_6 is glucose which is a sugar.
(
Fundamentals of Geology).
The main photosynthesis reaction is
6CO_2 + 6H_2O + light energy = C_6H_12O_6 + 6O_2
where C_6H_12O_6 is glucose which is a sugar.
(
Fundamentals of Geology).
Most basically because salt sea water gets converted into fresh water on land through the hydrological cycle: i.e., evaporation from the sea and rain onto land.
Ozone absorbs ultraviolet light from the Sun that is dangerous to organic life.
Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) used in refrigeration and air condition escape into the atmosphere and destroy ozone (Se-440). They are being phased out.
Unfortunately, H_2 (molecular hydrogen) can also destroy ozone. If we convert to a hydrogen economy, then H_2 leakage may become a significant environmental problem. The issue has been debated intensely recently.
About 40 % of the solar EMR flux at the top of the atmosphere reaches the ground.
The other 60 % is reflected or absorbed in the atmosphere.
About 15 % of the solar EMR flux hitting the ground is just reflected.
Thus, about 25 % of the solar EMR flux is absorbed by the ground and heats it up.
Now all the heat energy going into the ground must come out again or the ground keeps heating up without limit.
The heat energy is radiated from the ground as INFRARED (IR) RADIATION.
The mean temperature of the AIRLESS EARTH is calculated to be 255 K or -18 degrees C (Ze2002-156).
Anyway the biosphere as it now
exists is set up for a higher mean temperature, and so
wouldn't work well if the mean temperature were -18 degrees C.
Penguins might prefer -18 degrees C.
Water vapor is the major insulator, CO_2 is a secondary one (SWT-507), and there are a few other minor helpers---these are the famous GREENHOUSE GASES.
The GREENHOUSE GASES absorb IR emitted by the ground and warm up. This provides us with an extra warming layer and raises the near surface temperatures over what they would be absent the GREENHOUSE GASES.
Still all heat energy that comes in, goes out---but we reach a higher equilibrium temperature than without GREENHOUSE GASES.
A similar situation holds for a house and its insulation in cold winter conditions.
Steady-state for a heated house.
The GREENHOUSE GASES cause the mean Earth surface temperature to be a 288 K or +15 degrees C (Ze2002-156). This means much of the Earth is pretty comfortable for life: at least the kinds of life we currently have.
So the GREENHOUSE EFFECT is good.
It's the GOLDILOCKS SITUATION: GREENHOUSE EFFECT has to be just right---or at least it should stay mostly the way it has been through human history.
Since the Industrial Revolution circa 1750, CO_2 in the atmosphere has been increasing.
In 1750, CO_2 abundance was about 280 ppm (parts per million in air) which is about what it had been for millennia (i.e., all of historical human history at least) ( Ka-25%).
Historical, CO_2 values can be determined from air bubbles??? in ice cores drilled in Greenland, etc.
IPCC CO_2 records and predictions.
The historical record back to 1000 AD is from ice core measurements.
Direct measurements have been done since about 1960 when abundance was 315 ppm. The last direct measurement on this plot was from 2000 when the abundance was about 370 ppm.
Under various circumstances the CO_2 abundance is seen to rise by varying amounts in the next 100 years. The IPCC states that much of the variation is due to varying human response.
Actually many people think there is more uncertainty than the IPCC has found.
Currently, the CO_2 abundance is about 379 ppm and since 1960 it has risen by about 17.3 %. (PF-98; Carbon Dioxide Reported at Record Levels; Mauna Loa Observatory of NOAA).
In 2003, the increase was 3 ppm which is a record increase ( Carbon Dioxide Reported at Record Levels). The recent average increase has been about 1.8 ppm
The increase amount does fluctuate, but it is plausible that the 2003, increase was caused by increased fossil fuel burning in Asia, particularly China and India.
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
There is no real doubt that the CO_2 increase is caused by the burning of fossil fuels (i.e., coal, oil, and natural gas).
When we burn these fuels we release CO_2 where the carbon component has been locked up in the ground as organic fossil fuel for geologically long times: millions to hundreds of millions of years???.
Of course, CO_2 is always being released and absorbed from the atmosphere by a variety of processes.
SOURCES
SINKS
So it is not as simple as we burn fuel and increase CO_2.
But nevertheless, some fraction of the CO_2 we produce stays in the atmosphere for centuries: about 65 % according to some calculations ( Ka-10%)
The NAIVE prediction is that if you increase a greenhouse gas, you should increase the greenhouse effect and cause GLOBAL WARMING.
But climate is NOT simple.
There are all kinds of complex FEEDBACK MECHANISMS and also other effects such as increasing dust pollution which can increase reflection of sunlight and cause GLOBAL COOLING.
Nevertheless, CLIMATE MODELING does predict that increased CO_2 combined with other effects will lead to GLOBAL WARMING---but there are still great uncertainties.
In the 20th century it seems that the GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE rose by 0.6 +/- 0.2 K (Ka-5%, NOAA: Global Warming Frequently Asked Questions ).
It is not easy to meaure GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE especially going back in time, and so that value may be more uncertain than indicated.
The GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE can be reconstructed from historical measurements and natural records like ice cores from ice caps in Greenland, etc.
Annual global mean temperatures
relative to the mean 1961--1990 temperature.
The grey region on the lower plot indicates the range of uncertainty???. It is considerable, and so it is not certain that temperatures were generally cooler over the 2nd millennium.
The shape of this curve has been called the ``hockey stick.''
Since the curve was first published in about 1999, there have been many other calculations with widely different results for the past millennium. They all pretty much agree, however, that the Earth after 1980 has been warmer than any time since 1000 AD (reporter, 2005, Science, February 11, 307, 828).
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Annual temperature trends all over the Earth for 1976 to 2000.
The dots indicate the increase in annual temperature per decade averaged over the period 1976--2000.
As one can see, temperature change has not been uniform, but has been rather complex. Some regions have even gotten colder.
Non-uniform change is probably what we can expect for the future.
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Is the temperature change of the 20th and early 21st centuries anthropogenic or just a natural fluctuation?
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given their conclusion.
A comparison of models with measured temperature.
The comparison shows models with natural, anthropogenic, and combined forcing for 1860--2000.
The grey region for the model results indicates the range of uncertainty in the model predictions.
An objection in the past to computer model climate predictions was that they could not fit the PAST, and so how could you believe them for the FUTURE.
Well now they can fit the PAST.
But how many free parameters have been used?
You can always fit any curve if you adjust the unknown controls (i.e., free parameters). I guess one could find out.
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
What about the future?
Well the IPCC predicts that GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE will rise by 1.4--5.8 K from 1990-2100 based on detailed computer modeling.
Their range (1.4--5.8 K) is uncertain partially because of unknown response of human society to GLOBAL WARMING---this is one of those complex feedback mechanisms mentioned above.
But, in fact, the temperature rise may be much more uncertain than what the IPCC has predicted.
The IPCC does their best, but there are objectors to their predictions outside (and even inside) their ranks---but the objectors go both ways---from ``why worry'' to ``apocalypse now.''
IPCC predictions for temperature increase.
The temperatures are relative to the 1990 global mean temperature.
Under various circumstances the mean global temperature is seen to rise by varying amounts in the next 100 years.
The IPCC states that much of the variation is due to varying human response.
Actually many people think there is more uncertainty than the IPCC has found.
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Climate is complex and subject to many natural processes which are not yet fully predictable.
If there is significant future global warming, what are some possible consequences?
Some lowlying island nations could suffer severely with the maximum sea level rise. Naturally, they are not happy about this prospect.
IPCC predictions for the rise in mean sea level.
They present 6 models that depend on varying circumstances many of which are under human control. There also uncertainty envelopes.
Many people believe that the uncertainties are greater than the IPCC estimate.
Credit: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
This is usually a slow leaking process, but over millions or billions of years an atmosphere can be diminished.
The lightest particles have the highest speed, and so have the strongest tendency to escape. Note the Earth doesn't have much molecular hydrogen gas or helium gas.
Where did it come from?
Earth rock contains VOLATILE ELEMENT ATOMS trapped in the rock. Small amounts compared to the rock/metal mass of the Earth, but enough to give us atmosphere and oceans.
These VOLATILES are continually released by volcanic activity: they tend to be released when the rock is melted and spewed on to the surface of the Earth.
This process is called VOLCANIC OUTGASSING.
A cartoon of volcanic outgassing.
Other elements like argon (which is a noble gas: it is a monatomic gas) and nitrogen in compounds must have been outgassed (Ze2002-161).
But how did we get to the happy atmospheric state we enjoy now?
The GOLDILOCKS PRINCIPLE has helped us:
``Primordial Venus is too hot for liquid water.''
``Primordial Mars (or Mars sooner rather than later) is too cold.''
``But primordial Earth is just right.''
And LIQUID WATER is all important for life and it exists only in a narrow temperature range and only if pressure is greater than about 0.01 atmospheres (i.e., 1 atmosphere is current Earth sea level atmospheric pressure which is about 10**5 Pascals.) See this water phase diagram.
See references Water health FAQ Frequently Asked Questions and Water for human beings
As you know some life has evolved to live outside of the ocean, but it maintains its own internal ocean.
Another reason for needing liquid water is get rid of the large CO_2 abundance and to prevent an EXTREME GREENHOUSE EFFECT.
The early Earth needed more greenhouse effect than now since the Sun was about 30 % less bright 4.6 Gyr ago (WB-106).
So considerable atmospheric CO_2 was needed to keep Earth warm enough for life and liquid water.
But VOLCANIC OUTGASSING just keeps producing CO_2 eon after eon.
This is what happened to VENUS which now approximates hell.
---Dante Inferno, transl. H. F. Cary ( Project Gutenberg's Dante's Inferno).
After early times when a CO_2 atmosphere first built up it seems that carbonate rock production has usually outpaced CO_2 outgassing.
CO_2, which was once a dominant atmospheric species, has dropped to being a trace species.
400 Myr ago CO_2 abundance was still about 20 times what it is today (WB-62), but even that was only about 0.7 % by number of the atmosphere.
Now it is only about 0.033 % by number.
If we burnt all oil, natural gas, and coal at once, then we'd increase the CO_2 abundance by a factor of 8 (Ka-25%).
But over a millennium or two the CO_2 abundance would come back to about where it was before the Industrial Revolution (circa 1750), because the ocean tends to absorb it up to some saturation limit (Ka-60%).
So ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING is only a temporary problem. It's not going to save us from the next glaciation of current ICE AGE (the Pleistocene Ice Age) which started circa 2.5 Myr ago and isn't over as far as we know (WB-76).
Glacier Bay. Johns Hopkins Glacier calving
Credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Department of Commerce: Image ID: corp1862, NOAA Corps Collection; Location: Alaska Southeast; Photo Date: August 1991; Photographer: Commander John Bortniak, NOAA Corps.
We are just in an INTERGLACIAL PERIOD which started circa 12,000 years ago and may well end in a few thousand more. (WB-77).
There are interglacials every 100,000 years or so (WB-76).
In any case, there is probably more than one cause of the various ICE AGES.
Nine major ICE AGES have been identified in the geological record (Cox-251).
This will increase rate of the chemical weathering that locks CO_2 up in carbonate rock.
Another doomsday scenario.
Where did the molecular oxygen (O_2) come from?
First, note that O_2 is a highly reactive gas and would relatively quickly disappear over megayears or hundreds of megayears if it weren't being continually produced (HI-125). It reacts to form oxides like rust (HI-125).
Our current oxygen-rich atmosphere could never be established from outgassing.
Answer 3 is right.
Yes plants gave rise to the condition that brought about herbivores.
The unhappy consequences for plants of photosynthesis.
Of course, rather inert N_2, not O_2, is the dominant species presently.
N_2 must have taken over as dominant species as CO_2 dropped due to carbon becoming locked in carbonate rock and also due to O_2 production from plants.
Water was produced by volcanic outgassing as noted above and mostly became our oceans.
What is the fate of water?
At present up to about 12 km above sea level is the TROPOSHERE.
The TROPOSHERE is lower atmosphere in which our weather occurs (WB-138).
At the top of the TROPOSHERE the temperature is about 208 K (WB-137) and water vapor that air can contain there is very tiny.
Most water will condense out and fall inside the TROPOSHERE.
Thus convection cells in the TROPOSHERE can't carry water up to great altitudes.
But the order of one gigayear, the brightening of the Sun will cause the mean global surface temperature to reach about 70 degrees C (or 340 K) and then the TROPOSHERE will extend to over 100 km in altitude (WB-129,138).
At those altitudes, UV radiation from the Sun is available to break H_2O into H and O.
A much greater fraction of H atoms will then escape the atmosphere by having escape velocity than they do now.
A cartoon of Earth losing its water in the future.
The future conditions of the Earth after massive H_2O loss begins are hard to predict, but the oceans might be gone by 1.5 Gyr ????. (WB-142).
Some liquid water could remain due to the still-ongoing volcanic outgassing (WB-141). And so some primitive life could persist in ponds.
But sooner or later the Earth will get too hot for liquid water and life will end---at least life as we know it.
Perhaps some exotic evolution will preserve complex life---or hyper-intelligent beings of the future transcent mere physical limitations.
Of course, the end of the Sun's Main Sequence life as discussed in IAWL Lecture 9: The Life of the Sun spells the doom of the Earth anyway in 5 to 6 Gyr.
Then there are 1970's rock bands . . .
But to conclude, the Earth is an evolving place.
HUMANKIND has only been around for a relatively brief phase (i.e., since about 160,000 years for sure [Gibbons, A. 2003jun13, Science, 300, 1641]; since about 195,000 years with some probability [Fleagle, J., et al. 2005, Nature]), but even that has seen two interglacials including the present one.
But the really big the changes we only contemplate. They are outside of the time scale of human society.
We breach the time barrier to the far past and future only by scientific inference.