An asteroid collage.
At the right is 951 Gaspra imaged in 1991 by Galileo on its way to Jupiter (Se-563).
At the left may be 243 Ida imaged in 1993 by Galileo (Se-563).
The others I can't identify.
Credit: NASA.
Growth of known NEAs and NEA+18s (i.e., large NEAs) 1980jan01--2005mar31.
As of 2005apr30, there are:
The curves in the figure are both still growing.
The NEA curve approximately linearly.
The NEA+18 curve shows a probably significant decline in slope.
Eventually, the NEA+18 curve must plateau when almost all NEA+18s have been found.
Probably finding the very last NEA+18s will take a long time since it takes an exhaustive search to find the very last ones.
There is no end to the number of NEAs since one can keep looking for smaller and smaller ones. But those that are less than 10 m or so (which are are better called meteoroids) probably pose no threat at all.
Credit: NASA/NASA NEO Program/Alan B. Chamberlin.
2 Vesta: a sequence of images. HST, 1995apr19.
I suppose this shows Vesta rotating, but its hard to tell.
Credit: NASA/HST.
2 Vesta: direct image, elevation map, model. HST, 1997sep04.
Vesta, the 2nd largest asteroid, has average diameter 523 km. But despite its large size, it isn't all that spherical as one can see.
A large crater with a central peak near the south is clear on the elevation map. The crater has a diameter of about 400 km.
Vesta has basaltic rock, and so is thought to have undergone volcanism and chemical differentiation in the early solar system.
Perhaps many asteroids larger than 100 km underwent some chemical differentiation and volcanism in the early solar system.
But their residual heat of formation and past radioactive heat were lost quickly and they became internal-heat geologically inactive early on.
Vesta and smaller asteroids might have owed their chemical differentiation and internal heat to aluminum-26 (half-life about 0.7 Myr) and other relatively short-lived radioactive nuclides.
The short-lived species would have to have been produced by a supernova that went off shortly before the solar system formation and that seeded the solar system with its debris.
See Se-565.
Credit: NASA/HST; download site Views of the Solar System by Calvin J. Hamilton.
433 Eros from the orbiting NEAR probe, 2000feb29.
Eros is approximately 33x13x13 km.
Credit: NASA/NEAR probe; download site Views of the Solar System by Calvin J. Hamilton.
433 Eros from the NEAR probe, 2000feb12.
Eros is approximately 33x13x13 km and we are viewing it from about 1800 km away.
The sequence of images covers 5.5 hours and shows Eros in approximately the color seen by the unaided eye.
NEAR would go into orbit around Eros and land on it as the final act of its mission.
You can see that the surface is cratered, but smoothish.
The surface has probably been pulverized to regolith: slippery, glassy dust with pebbles and rocks of various sizes????.
Eros, discovered in 1898, is a NEA: i.e., a Near-Earth asteroid.
It's semi-major axis is 1.458 AU and it has eccentricity 0.223 (Cox-319).
Answer 2 is right.
perihelion = (1-eccentricity) x a = about 0.8 x 1.5 = 1.2 AU
= 1.13 AU more exactly
Because Eros is named for the love god, many of the features on Eros have all been named for famous/infamous lovers: Don Quixote & Dulcinea, Orpheus & Eurydice, Catherine & Heathcliff, Don Juan, Casanova, Genji, and Lolita ( Views of the Solar System: Cylindrical Projection Map of Eros by Grant L. Hutchison).
Credit: NASA/NEAR probe; download site Views of the Solar System by Calvin J. Hamilton.
Asteroid 243 Ida and its moon Dactyl.
This is a false color image of 243 Ida taken on a fly-by by the Galileo probe on its way to Jupiter in 1993.
North is at 1:00.
The bright blue areas may indicated enrichment in iron-bearing minerals.
Ida is 58 km along its long axis. Dactyl is about 15 km in size scale (Se-563).
Ida like mostly smaller asteroids is not round. Its self-gravity is insufficient to pull it into a spherical shape against its electromagnetic force structure and its centrifugal force due to its rotation.
Credit: NASA: Galileo probe: Image #P-44131.
14 Irene ``This composite image shows the 10.4-magnitude asteroid 14 Irene as it moves across the sky. It is a combination of four one-minute exposures spaced about 20 minutes apart.''
Credit: NOAO/AURA/NSF.
A radar image of 1950 DA (asteroid 29075). Arecibo, 2001mar04.
I'm not actually quite sure what we are seeing.
Presumably the horizontal and vertical scales are related to distance on the sky.
The caption called it a radar image and gave no further explanation.
Credit NASA/JPL/S. Ostro.
The orbit of 1950 DA (asteroid 29075) discovered 1950feb23 by C. A. Wirtanen.
Semi-major axis: 1.69884271 AU.
Eccentricity: 0.507424557.
Inclination to Ecliptic Plane: 12.1843194 degrees
Rotational period about 2.1 hr.
The most threatening object yet found is 1950 DA which was first discovered 1950feb23 and lost, but was recovered on 2000dec31 (last evening of the 20th century by the precise definition). See NASA NEO Program: 1950 DA and Minor Planet Center: Apollo asteroids.
1950 DA is a temporary name indicating the year of discovery. It is asteroid 29075.
1950 DA is about 1.1 km in size scale. So according to the threat diagram above, it could cause continental devastation.
Under one assumption about its axial tilt 1950 DA has a 1/300 chance of impacting Earth.
Under another assumption, the chance is practically zero.
So one can average and say a 1/600 chance of hitting.
Why can't we be more certain? All those minute perturbations that can't be accurately included in a calculation that extends for centuries.
The date of possible impact is 2880mar16---just before St. Patrick's Day, 2880.
So if 1950 DA is going to impact, we have a long time to do something about it.
What can we do if its going to hit? A small enough perturbation early on would deflect it. Just a small push perhaps or just changing its reflectivity by covering it with charcoal soot.
The risk from 1950 DA given its chance of hitting and its size is thought to be greater than the combined risk by all other known asteroids through to 2880.
So we can all breathe easier so far.
Credit NASA/JPL/J. Giorgini.
An artist's conception of the Chicxulub impactor at the moment of impact.
In 1980, it was proposed that the mass-extinction 65 million years at the end of the Mesozoic era/Cretaceous period and beginning of the Cenozoic era/Paleogene period was caused by an impactor of order 10 km in size scale.
The initial evidence was a worldwide layer rich in iridium at the stratigraphic Cretaceous/Paleogene boundary: iridium is an element rare on Earth, but common in some meteorites (Se-573--574).
The mass extinction ended the age of the dinosaurs and began age when mammals were the dominant large animals. See Se-573--574; and Sm-92--93.
The crater of the impactor is the Chicxulub crater centered near Chicxulub village, Yucatan, Mexico. It is 170 km in diameter, but is entirely covered by sediments.
It was discovered in the early 1990s by drilling??? and other geological means.
It is thought that the impactor threw up a huge plume of hot debris that spread around the planet and ignited massive forest fires.
Subsequently, soot from the fires and dust from the debris may have caused a multi-year global winter.
Both the fires and the multi-year global winter would have extinguished considerable life.
The world-wide debris included impactor iridium which gave the iridium-rich layer at the Cretaceous/Paleogene boundary.
That an impactor hit near the end of the Cretaceous is solidly established.
There are, however, still a few doubters that it was the cause of the mass extinction. They rebut the leading theory. See Keller et al., 2003sep25 and Sm-93.
Credit NASA/artist Don Davis.
An artist's conception of asteroid mining.
As long ago as 1977 when this illustration was made, NASA has been considering asteroid mining.
The image caption isn't terribly clear. The lander miner is is obvious.
But is the large solar array the orbiting construction platform or just an inset illustration of a solar array?
Credit NASA/artist concept: Denise Watt.